Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.356643 3.959998 4.665369 5.557242 6.663798 8.003294 9.765323
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.495908 3.246238 4.236159 5.664654 7.718876 10.639501 15.244944
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.044909 2.827870 3.944036 5.702791 8.504371 12.980497 21.090205
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.799761 2.615257 3.853961 5.955854 9.615112 16.108949 29.518392
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.543051 2.327119 3.576820 5.822799 10.019400 18.137214 36.882839
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.368156 2.132299 3.403736 5.811381 10.615696 20.706349 46.737237
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.216082 1.948578 3.212751 5.717327 11.013376 22.996378 57.289809
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.123364 1.850472 3.152313 5.853251 11.919371 26.777529 74.463515
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.013051 1.705360 2.981424 5.728570 12.209338 29.169187 89.268997
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.973759 1.683171 3.038250 6.092925 13.762487 35.634343 124.220447
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.927002 1.640168 3.046261 6.350176 15.134022 42.297636 167.783584
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.887642 1.605950 3.066052 6.638621 16.692511 50.461959 229.942712
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.807287 1.492139 2.925829 6.575479 17.444697 57.171087 302.534670
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.747246 1.414583 2.858698 6.704935 18.940283 68.426325 438.091585
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.690189 1.334343 2.769856 6.751780 20.208155 80.104209 621.785899
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.655606 1.297146 2.774121 7.062469 22.594625 100.041628 992.740831
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.599855 1.205388 2.630411 6.899041 23.124085 110.893703 1329.645746
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.558207 1.140229 2.542246 6.885024 24.284077 127.404816 1915.824497
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.516755 1.070411 2.431025 6.769608 24.975567 142.163583 2661.635041
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.491505 1.035644 2.406119 6.936430 27.091188 171.523965 4371.250010
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.456366 0.972996 2.296528 6.783400 27.592200 188.904754 6149.215576
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.445955 0.969549 2.349540 7.230998 31.543680 248.236069 13073.576157
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.431315 0.953698 2.364944 7.547738 35.075154 314.791043 27841.634757